While the state has already experienced some cold winter weather, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) is preparing for the worst.

ERCOT recently released a winter 2011-12 assessment, the first of a new report created to provide a better picture of near-term risks, and the assessment indicated concern if there is a combination of extreme weather and worst-case generation outages, like in February of this year.

The report noted that under normal weather conditions, the winter peak demand should be around 53,600 megawatts, and the available resources, based on normal generation outage rates, are approximately 64,000 megawatts. However, under extreme weather conditions, the winter peak demand could be approximately 60,000 megawatts, and the available resources, based on the above normal generation outage rates, could dip to approximately 57,000 megawatts.

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